Hi ZS, assuming that whether not really one wins or loses on one scratch ticket (what is that, in either case?) is independent from winning or losing on additional scratch ticket, you treat each event as a separate event. Laws of probability tell us to multiply the various probabilities of independent situation. It appears that the probability of [losing] on any particular scratch ticket must be 2/3. Useful and obviously the chance of [losing] on 30 scratch tickets one after the other (if it is exactly what your problem is asking) should be (2/3)^30 = approximately 0.2 x 10^-6, which is about.0000052, or 52 the actual 10 million, which depends upon 1 chance out of 192,307.

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